Showing posts with label back testing. Show all posts
Showing posts with label back testing. Show all posts

Saturday, 13 April 2013

The Essential of Stock Screening: Government Linked Companies II


In reference to the previous Stock Screening: Government Linked Companies, I would like to share the screen of my back tested on Malaysia GLCs. I use one of the online local newspapers market watch function in which publicly available. Just a small free registration required though.



I bought each stock 10,000 unit on Sept 10, 2012 and Jan 13, 2013. The stocks are Axiata , +CIMB Malaysia, +Maybank, PCHEM, PETGAS, Sime Darby and +Tenaga Nasional Berhad 

As you can see, until April 12, 2013 at 6.45pm, Axiata gains 10.9%, CIMB 4.2%, Maybank gains handsomely at 17.1% and Petronas Chemical and Petronas Gas sluggish around 4.4% and 2.6% respectively. 

I should cut my losses if Sime Darby continues in red while +Tenaga Nasional Berhad settled at 14.5% gain. 

Although by average, the total gain is about RM38,800 or 6.2% only, at least by conducting this exercise and back testing, you could easily establish favorable GLC stocks. These stocks could easily outperform Bursa Malaysia, if they are also top 30 of Bursa based on the market caps. 

Perhaps, just within 6 months, my portfolio matched with the usual dividend rate given out by the government or institutional funds. If the scenario remains predictable and consistent, on annual basis, don't you think you might be able to get a double digit rate? 

Nevertheless, given my testing period since September last year, you have to take into considerations the consolidation period during early and end of the year. Including the budget announcement, if it is significant.   

Just give a try!